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Red40
286114.3
546416.6
51256.7
Blue53
252612.1
329417.0
305812.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33460102040506070804053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5464
#21
16.60.4
13.714.1
Auto5.9
Teleop4.0
End6.7
blue by 0.4
3294
#10
17.00.4
16.917.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.4
End6.6
Second
2861
#28
14.30.4
10.410.8
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End11.3
red by 1.9
3058
#39
12.40.4
12.613.0
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End3.9
Third
5125
#34
6.70.4
8.48.7
Auto1.9
Teleop3.0
End1.8
blue by 5.4
2526
#44
12.10.4
12.112.4
Auto5.0
Teleop2.3
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsEarned42%Hangar oddsEarned