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Red57
9316.5
51256.7
569022.1
Blue42
250319.7
78933.2
657411.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55392060805742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.10.1
22.021.9
Auto8.1
Teleop10.8
End3.3
red by 2.4
19.70.5
19.819.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End9.8
Second
93
#18
16.50.1
19.018.9
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.6
red by 4.8
6574
#38
11.70.5
15.314.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.5
End3.5
Third
5125
#34
6.70.1
8.78.7
Auto1.9
Teleop3.0
End1.8
red by 3.5
7893
#56
3.20.5
3.73.2
Auto2.4
Teleop-0.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsMissed49%Hangar oddsEarned