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Red72
226421.4
472820.4
286114.3
Blue68
250115.0
546416.6
173234.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5167204060801007268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2264
#20
21.42.0
19.721.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.2
End6.6
blue by 12.9
34.30.8
30.931.7
Auto11.2
Teleop14.6
End8.5
Second
20.42.0
19.021.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End5.8
red by 3.8
5464
#21
16.60.8
14.114.9
Auto5.9
Teleop4.0
End6.7
Third
2861
#28
14.32.0
10.812.9
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End11.3
blue by 0.7
2501
#42
15.00.8
15.816.6
Auto4.7
Teleop5.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsEarned86%Hangar oddsEarned