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Red52
329417.0
327514.3
451112.1
Blue49
329110.5
514310.7
400922.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4347102030607080905249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3294
#10
17.00.8
17.318.1
Auto4.0
Teleop6.4
End6.6
blue by 5.8
4009
#13
22.80.6
21.922.5
Auto7.2
Teleop10.0
End5.6
Second
3275
#22
14.30.8
14.615.4
Auto4.8
Teleop3.4
End6.1
red by 3.6
5143
#51
10.70.6
10.210.8
Auto4.4
Teleop2.6
End3.7
Third
4511
#32
12.10.8
8.79.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End5.9
red by 1.6
3291
#50
10.50.6
11.311.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsEarned57%Hangar oddsMissed