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Red37
310214.2
319717.3
374018.6
Blue55
223910.3
460722.9
252612.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584220801003755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3740
#14
18.61.8
20.218.5
Auto5.1
Teleop6.4
End7.1
blue by 4.3
22.91.1
19.620.7
Auto6.9
Teleop6.8
End9.3
Second
3197
#25
17.31.8
20.018.2
Auto4.5
Teleop6.8
End6.0
red by 5.3
2526
#44
12.11.1
12.413.5
Auto5.0
Teleop2.3
End4.7
Third
3102
#47
14.21.8
12.610.8
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End3.3
red by 3.9
2239
#33
10.31.1
9.410.4
Auto1.0
Teleop3.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsEarned