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Red18
60475.5
42385.0
329110.5
Blue23
704814.1
51256.7
657411.7
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274101020506070801823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3291
#50
10.52.0
12.610.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.8
End2.6
blue by 3.6
7048
#26
14.11.3
15.414.1
Auto3.2
Teleop2.5
End8.5
Second
6047
#58
5.52.0
7.55.5
Auto2.7
Teleop1.2
End1.6
blue by 6.2
6574
#38
11.71.3
13.011.7
Auto3.7
Teleop4.5
End3.5
Third
4238
#54
5.02.0
7.05.0
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End2.8
blue by 1.7
5125
#34
6.71.3
8.06.7
Auto1.9
Teleop3.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed60%Hangar oddsMissed