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Red64
460722.9
250319.7
253118.2
Blue56
286114.3
614614.6
465613.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64372060801006456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.7
21.622.3
Auto6.9
Teleop6.8
End9.3
red by 8.3
6146
#46
14.61.3
13.214.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.7
End6.6
Second
19.70.7
19.520.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End9.8
red by 5.4
2861
#28
14.31.5
12.914.3
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End11.3
Third
2531
#35
18.20.7
15.516.2
Auto4.3
Teleop5.2
End8.8
red by 5.0
4656
#40
13.21.3
11.913.2
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsEarned7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned86%Hangar oddsEarned