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Red55
388327.7
614622.0
563819.0
Blue22
265423.5
249118.3
245010.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775720401001205522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#10
27.70.5
28.027.5
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End11.2
red by 4.2
2654
#13
23.50.7
24.523.8
Auto8.0
Teleop6.1
End9.4
Second
22.00.5
22.321.8
Auto4.9
Teleop9.8
End7.3
red by 3.7
2491
#12
18.30.7
19.318.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End8.4
Third
5638
#17
19.00.6
19.318.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End4.2
red by 8.1
2450
#42
10.90.7
11.911.1
Auto2.4
Teleop0.1
End8.4