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Red54
388327.7
614622.0
563819.0
Blue42
265423.5
249118.3
245010.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75542040601001205442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#10
27.70.3
27.527.2
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End11.2
red by 4.2
2654
#13
23.50.3
23.823.5
Auto8.0
Teleop6.1
End9.4
Second
22.00.3
21.821.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.8
End7.3
red by 3.7
2491
#12
18.30.3
18.618.3
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End8.4
Third
5638
#17
19.00.4
18.718.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End4.2
red by 8.1
2450
#42
10.90.3
11.110.9
Auto2.4
Teleop0.1
End8.4