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Red71
298728.0
392827.6
674919.8
Blue78
214326.6
250919.0
310019.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions786640601001207178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.1
26.826.7
Auto7.6
Teleop12.7
End7.7
red by 1.5
2143
#11
26.60.4
26.026.4
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End7.5
Second
27.60.1
26.426.3
Auto10.1
Teleop13.2
End4.3
red by 8.3
3100
#38
19.30.3
18.819.1
Auto5.4
Teleop3.6
End10.3
Third
6749
#29
19.80.1
18.218.1
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End11.7
red by 0.8
19.00.4
18.418.8
Auto8.7
Teleop4.3
End6.1