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Red30
82347.8
46488.8
427715.5
Blue74
466321.7
265423.5
217717.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24520204060801003074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4277
#23
15.50.4
9.49.7
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End4.9
blue by 8.0
2654
#13
23.52.3
18.821.1
Auto8.0
Teleop6.1
End9.4
Second
4648
#49
8.80.4
9.09.4
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End3.7
blue by 12.8
4663
#14
21.72.5
13.916.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.1
End12.2
Third
8234
#47
7.80.7
7.88.5
Auto3.4
Teleop3.9
End0.5
blue by 9.7
2177
#30
17.52.5
12.915.4
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed49%Hangar oddsEarned