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Red54
214326.6
417413.3
327627.2
Blue21
725814.5
527814.8
45498.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45340204060801005421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.21.2
20.621.8
Auto7.6
Teleop9.4
End10.2
red by 12.4
5278
#41
14.81.4
10.08.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End4.8
Second
2143
#11
26.61.5
10.111.5
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End7.5
red by 12.0
7258
#44
14.51.4
8.87.5
Auto5.5
Teleop5.5
End3.5
Third
4174
#46
13.31.5
10.211.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End3.1
red by 4.9
4549
#53
8.40.9
14.413.5
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsEarned29%Hangar oddsMissed