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Red32
562613.9
212914.3
245010.9
Blue40
384817.4
249118.3
260612.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294102060803240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#25
14.30.3
9.19.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.2
End7.0
blue by 4.1
2491
#12
18.30.3
17.417.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End8.4
Second
5626
#32
13.90.3
9.29.6
Auto5.9
Teleop5.3
End2.7
blue by 3.5
3848
#26
17.40.3
10.010.3
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End6.7
Third
2450
#42
10.90.2
10.710.9
Auto2.4
Teleop0.1
End8.4
blue by 1.8
2606
#40
12.70.3
9.610.0
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed19%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsEarned