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Red70
254921.0
421514.4
546426.0
Blue22
727310.9
361015.6
604510.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50270204060801007022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.02.3
16.618.9
Auto7.0
Teleop8.1
End10.8
red by 10.4
3610
#19
15.60.7
8.68.0
Auto5.3
Teleop4.7
End5.5
Second
2549
#33
21.01.9
17.719.6
Auto5.7
Teleop8.0
End7.3
red by 10.1
7273
#51
10.90.7
9.28.5
Auto2.5
Teleop2.7
End5.7
Third
4215
#22
14.42.9
9.612.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End2.5
red by 3.9
6045
#48
10.50.7
10.29.6
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsMissed