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Red56
527517.9
260612.7
727310.9
Blue22
384817.4
82347.8
52719.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39260102030506070805622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5275
#35
17.91.4
16.317.7
Auto7.6
Teleop4.8
End5.6
red by 0.5
3848
#26
17.40.9
10.39.5
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End6.7
Second
2606
#40
12.72.4
10.012.3
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End3.6
red by 3.3
5271
#37
9.40.9
7.16.2
Auto2.8
Teleop3.6
End3.0
Third
7273
#51
10.92.4
8.510.9
Auto2.5
Teleop2.7
End5.7
red by 3.0
8234
#47
7.80.9
8.57.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.9
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsEarned22%Hangar oddsMissed