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Red68
223920.1
249118.3
304219.1
Blue57
392827.6
288331.2
217511.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4570204060801001206857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.8
12.614.5
Auto5.7
Teleop4.6
End9.8
blue by 11.2
2883
#20
31.20.4
31.531.1
Auto7.8
Teleop14.5
End9.0
Second
3042
#18
19.11.8
15.317.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.8
End6.8
blue by 8.5
27.60.3
21.220.8
Auto10.1
Teleop13.2
End4.3
Third
2491
#12
18.31.8
17.619.5
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End8.4
red by 7.0
2175
#36
11.30.4
9.69.1
Auto3.5
Teleop3.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsEarned28%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsEarned62%Hangar oddsEarned