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Red67
214326.6
257420.6
300716.4
Blue58
421514.4
320621.6
266717.1
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions404802060801006758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2143
#11
26.63.2
11.514.7
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End7.5
red by 5.0
3206
#28
21.60.7
17.217.9
Auto7.8
Teleop10.9
End2.9
Second
20.61.9
14.216.2
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End5.9
red by 3.5
2667
#39
17.10.7
14.214.9
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End8.2
Third
3007
#31
16.43.2
12.615.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.3
End6.7
red by 1.9
4215
#22
14.41.1
12.513.6
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsEarned48%Hangar oddsMissed