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Red51
46488.8
331314.8
388327.7
Blue48
417413.3
614622.0
254921.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4950304060705148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3883
#10
27.70.3
21.621.9
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End11.2
red by 5.7
22.00.1
16.416.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.8
End7.3
Second
3313
#27
14.80.3
13.213.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.3
End4.1
blue by 6.1
2549
#33
21.00.1
18.618.7
Auto5.7
Teleop8.0
End7.3
Third
4648
#49
8.80.5
12.012.5
Auto2.4
Teleop2.7
End3.7
blue by 4.5
4174
#46
13.30.1
11.611.8
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed53%Hangar oddsEarned