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Red76
327627.2
392827.6
466321.7
Blue48
674919.8
222512.8
288331.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68520204060801001207648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3928
#4Sur
27.61.0
20.821.8
Auto10.1
Teleop13.2
End4.3
blue by 3.6
2883
#20Sur
31.20.2
31.130.9
Auto7.8
Teleop14.5
End9.0
Second
27.21.1
22.523.6
Auto7.6
Teleop9.4
End10.2
red by 7.4
6749
#29
19.80.3
10.910.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End11.7
Third
4663
#14
21.71.1
18.319.4
Auto5.3
Teleop4.1
End12.2
red by 8.9
2225
#45
12.80.3
8.78.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsEarned44%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned50%Hangar oddsEarned