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Red36
427715.5
727310.9
45498.4
Blue42
223920.1
247216.9
250919.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384220305060703642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4277
#23
15.50.0
12.012.0
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End4.9
blue by 4.5
20.10.3
14.514.7
Auto5.7
Teleop4.6
End9.8
Second
7273
#51
10.90.0
10.910.9
Auto2.5
Teleop2.7
End5.7
blue by 8.1
19.00.4
13.413.8
Auto8.7
Teleop4.3
End6.1
Third
4549
#53
8.40.0
13.213.2
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End3.6
blue by 8.5
2472
#34
16.90.4
10.711.1
Auto4.5
Teleop5.5
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
24%Hangar oddsEarned52%Hangar oddsEarned