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Red45
466321.7
217511.3
417413.3
Blue68
392827.6
251211.5
313023.1
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426320801004568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4663
#14
21.70.2
19.519.7
Auto5.3
Teleop4.1
End12.2
blue by 6.0
27.60.7
22.823.6
Auto10.1
Teleop13.2
End4.3
Second
4174
#46
13.30.3
11.712.0
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End3.1
blue by 9.7
3130
#16
23.10.7
22.222.9
Auto5.4
Teleop12.3
End5.4
Third
2175
#36
11.30.2
11.111.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.1
End4.7
blue by 0.2
2512
#43
11.50.7
11.812.6
Auto4.7
Teleop3.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsMissed