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Red69
527517.9
674919.8
384817.4
Blue66
527814.8
388327.7
254921.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions416220801006966

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6749
#29
19.82.7
12.615.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End11.7
blue by 7.9
3883
#10
27.70.7
23.824.6
Auto5.0
Teleop11.5
End11.2
Second
5275
#35
17.91.6
17.719.3
Auto7.6
Teleop4.8
End5.6
blue by 3.1
2549
#33
21.00.7
20.120.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.0
End7.3
Third
3848
#26
17.42.7
10.713.4
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End6.7
red by 2.5
5278
#41
14.81.2
11.312.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.9
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed34%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsEarned71%Hangar oddsEarned