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Red41
251211.5
222512.8
257420.6
Blue53
245010.9
254921.0
223920.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44512060801004153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.6
18.217.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.2
End5.9
blue by 0.4
2549
#33
21.00.1
20.820.9
Auto5.7
Teleop8.0
End7.3
Second
2225
#45
12.81.0
11.610.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End1.9
blue by 7.3
20.10.1
16.316.4
Auto5.7
Teleop4.6
End9.8
Third
2512
#43
11.50.6
12.611.9
Auto4.7
Teleop3.5
End3.4
red by 0.6
2450
#42
10.90.1
10.310.4
Auto2.4
Teleop0.1
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsMissed78%Hangar oddsEarned