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Red28
42257.5
45498.4
265423.5
Blue33
304219.1
320621.6
46935.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4755204060801002833

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2654
#13
23.51.1
24.523.3
Auto8.0
Teleop6.1
End9.4
red by 1.9
3206
#28
21.61.7
22.120.5
Auto7.8
Teleop10.9
End2.9
Second
4549
#53
8.41.1
11.210.1
Auto2.9
Teleop2.0
End3.6
blue by 10.7
3042
#18
19.11.7
20.418.7
Auto5.5
Teleop6.8
End6.8
Third
4225
#52
7.51.9
9.37.4
Auto4.4
Teleop1.4
End1.6
red by 2.0
4693
#50
5.52.8
7.85.0
Auto2.7
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed51%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
46%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsMissed