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Red80
298728.0
392827.6
260612.7
Blue63
217717.5
266717.1
214326.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6159405070808063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.01.3
23.124.4
Auto7.6
Teleop12.7
End7.7
red by 1.5
2143
#11
26.60.4
21.622.0
Auto7.1
Teleop12.0
End7.5
Second
27.61.3
23.624.9
Auto10.1
Teleop13.2
End4.3
red by 10.1
2177
#30
17.50.2
16.416.6
Auto5.5
Teleop8.2
End3.8
Third
2606
#40
12.72.1
10.312.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End3.6
blue by 4.5
2667
#39
17.10.2
17.517.8
Auto3.7
Teleop5.2
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
37%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsMissed