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Red68
223920.1
222719.7
310019.3
Blue74
392827.6
181621.1
46935.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434630405060706874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.12.3
10.312.6
Auto5.7
Teleop4.6
End9.8
blue by 7.6
27.61.8
19.421.2
Auto10.1
Teleop13.2
End4.3
Second
2227
#24
19.72.3
19.421.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.4
End7.5
blue by 1.4
21.12.2
12.815.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.0
End10.2
Third
3100
#38
19.32.3
12.514.8
Auto5.4
Teleop3.6
End10.3
red by 13.8
4693
#50
5.52.7
9.512.2
Auto2.7
Teleop1.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned47%Hangar oddsMissed