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Red56
563819.0
614622.0
427715.5
Blue53
674919.8
392617.1
320621.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374110203050605653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.01.8
14.616.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.8
End7.3
red by 0.4
3206
#28
21.60.8
16.317.2
Auto7.8
Teleop10.9
End2.9
Second
5638
#17
19.02.3
11.313.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End4.2
blue by 0.8
6749
#29
19.81.3
9.410.7
Auto4.3
Teleop3.8
End11.7
Third
4277
#23
15.52.3
9.712.0
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End4.9
blue by 1.6
3926
#15
17.11.0
11.912.9
Auto3.9
Teleop9.2
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
44%Hangar oddsMissed26%Hangar oddsEarned