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Red83
216930.5
462422.6
706820.8
Blue96
250227.4
302624.5
302321.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions807740601001208396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.2
30.830.9
Auto8.1
Teleop10.7
End11.8
red by 3.1
2502
#18
27.40.5
27.127.6
Auto8.9
Teleop10.6
End7.9
Second
22.60.2
22.823.0
Auto6.4
Teleop11.9
End4.3
blue by 2.0
3026
#10
24.50.5
24.124.7
Auto5.5
Teleop7.2
End11.8
Third
7068
#14
20.80.2
21.021.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End8.0
blue by 1.0
3023
#23
21.80.5
21.522.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End11.1