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Red56
216930.5
462422.6
706820.8
Blue82
250227.4
302624.5
302321.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8079506070901001101205682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.50.4
30.930.5
Auto8.1
Teleop10.7
End11.8
red by 3.1
2502
#18
27.40.2
27.627.8
Auto8.9
Teleop10.6
End7.9
Second
22.60.4
23.022.6
Auto6.4
Teleop11.9
End4.3
blue by 2.0
3026
#10
24.50.2
24.724.8
Auto5.5
Teleop7.2
End11.8
Third
7068
#14
20.80.4
21.220.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End8.0
blue by 1.0
3023
#23
21.80.2
22.022.2
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End11.1