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Red17
25134.4
887811.5
282328.7
Blue67
226425.4
477815.9
327720.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445402060801001767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.72.1
23.421.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.3
End8.6
red by 3.3
2264
#20
25.41.4
24.726.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.6
End9.8
Second
8878
#35
11.52.9
10.27.3
Auto4.3
Teleop3.3
End3.9
blue by 8.9
3277
#13
20.51.4
16.117.5
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End4.5
Third
2513
#52
4.42.9
9.36.4
Auto3.6
Teleop1.5
End-0.7
blue by 11.5
4778
#25
15.91.4
8.710.1
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsEarned