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Red30
725716.7
25188.1
345416.7
Blue37
25134.4
420722.0
463210.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303022242628323436383037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3454
#29
16.70.2
8.48.6
Auto5.8
Teleop6.7
End4.2
blue by 5.3
4207
#15
22.01.0
10.411.4
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End10.7
Second
7257
#45
16.70.2
10.210.4
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End6.8
red by 6.4
4632
#40
10.21.0
9.110.1
Auto6.5
Teleop0.7
End3.1
Third
2518
#54
8.10.2
9.49.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.0
End0.1
red by 3.6
2513
#52
4.41.0
8.29.3
Auto3.6
Teleop1.5
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed