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Red52
253019.6
52533.0
87877.3
Blue43
249814.7
308218.1
250817.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4442203050605243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#5
33.00.8
23.023.8
Auto9.0
Teleop15.6
End8.5
red by 14.9
3082
#30
18.10.5
12.512.0
Auto5.4
Teleop7.1
End5.5
Second
2530
#19
19.61.2
10.011.2
Auto4.0
Teleop9.9
End5.7
red by 2.1
2508
#24
17.50.4
17.417.1
Auto4.2
Teleop2.2
End11.0
Third
8787
#42
7.32.1
7.39.4
Auto3.4
Teleop1.7
End2.2
blue by 7.4
2498
#38
14.70.5
9.79.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed50%Hangar oddsEarned