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Red37
251511.1
52998.0
250227.4
Blue69
851618.2
302321.8
302624.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364501002003004005003769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#18
27.40.2
17.016.9
Auto8.9
Teleop10.6
End7.9
red by 2.9
3026
#10
24.52.1
16.518.6
Auto5.5
Teleop7.2
End11.8
Second
2515
#46
11.10.2
8.68.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.2
blue by 10.7
3023
#23
21.82.5
16.218.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End11.1
Third
5299
#47
8.00.2
9.29.0
Auto4.1
Teleop1.5
End2.3
blue by 10.2
8516
#37
18.210.5
21.811.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
31%Hangar oddsMissed56%Hangar oddsEarned