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Red36
369113.8
327720.5
599611.7
Blue42
543429.5
284613.6
32788.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40290501001502003642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3277
#13
20.50.4
16.416.1
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End4.5
blue by 9.0
29.51.0
12.213.2
Auto9.4
Teleop10.3
End9.8
Second
3691
#41
13.80.5
10.810.3
Auto5.8
Teleop3.9
End4.0
red by 0.2
2846
#32
13.60.8
8.18.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End6.9
Third
5996
#33
11.70.5
9.08.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.6
End4.1
red by 3.3
3278
#44
8.41.0
8.69.7
Auto4.0
Teleop2.3
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed