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Red14
25009.4
46645.6
55414.6
Blue35
78504.2
477815.9
375114.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2729010204050601435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2500
#36
9.41.9
9.67.7
Auto1.8
Teleop5.6
End2.0
blue by 6.5
4778
#25
15.90.8
7.98.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End5.3
Second
4664
#51
5.61.9
8.26.3
Auto1.2
Teleop3.4
End1.0
blue by 8.9
3751
#34
14.51.0
9.310.2
Auto5.1
Teleop6.1
End3.3
Third
5541
#49
4.61.9
9.37.4
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End0.6
red by 0.4
7850
#55
4.21.0
9.010.0
Auto3.0
Teleop0.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed