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Red56
52533.0
32788.4
477815.9
Blue29
302321.8
78504.2
453612.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483602060801005629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#5
33.00.8
26.327.1
Auto9.0
Teleop15.6
End8.5
red by 11.2
3023
#23
21.80.9
18.918.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End11.1
Second
4778
#25
15.90.8
11.212.0
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End5.3
red by 3.9
4536
#16
12.11.6
9.27.6
Auto2.5
Teleop3.9
End5.7
Third
3278
#44
8.41.4
5.97.3
Auto4.0
Teleop2.3
End2.0
red by 4.2
7850
#55
4.21.6
7.05.4
Auto3.0
Teleop0.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
34%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
36%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsMissed