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Red56
253019.6
251511.1
706820.8
Blue11
25134.4
25009.4
320216.5
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions512404060801005611

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7068
#14
20.80.8
18.819.6
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End8.0
red by 4.3
3202
#31
16.51.7
13.311.6
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End3.8
Second
2530
#19
19.61.3
14.715.9
Auto4.0
Teleop9.9
End5.7
red by 10.2
2500
#36
9.41.7
7.15.4
Auto1.8
Teleop5.6
End2.0
Third
2515
#46
11.11.3
11.312.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.0
End1.2
red by 6.6
2513
#52
4.41.7
5.94.2
Auto3.6
Teleop1.5
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsMissed