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Red85
422911.5
543429.5
453923.8
Blue66
420722.0
725716.7
284613.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6442020801001208566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.52.5
24.126.6
Auto9.4
Teleop10.3
End9.8
red by 7.5
4207
#15
22.02.5
19.121.6
Auto5.9
Teleop5.4
End10.7
Second
4539
#28
23.81.6
25.126.7
Auto5.8
Teleop12.5
End5.5
red by 7.1
7257
#45
16.72.5
11.614.1
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End6.8
Third
4229
#43
11.52.5
7.610.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End2.6
blue by 2.1
2846
#32
13.61.6
11.412.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsEarned6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsEarned52%Hangar oddsEarned