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Red78
302321.8
419828.2
462422.6
Blue26
46645.6
320216.5
34075.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8127040601001201401607826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#12
28.20.1
27.227.3
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End8.1
red by 11.7
3202
#31
16.50.6
19.018.3
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End3.8
Second
22.60.1
21.821.8
Auto6.4
Teleop11.9
End4.3
red by 16.9
3407
#48
5.70.6
8.98.3
Auto0.7
Teleop3.8
End1.2
Third
3023
#23
21.80.1
19.920.0
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End11.1
red by 16.2
4664
#51
5.60.6
4.03.4
Auto1.2
Teleop3.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsEarned22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
68%Hangar oddsEarned15%Hangar oddsMissed