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Red50
287913.3
327720.5
308218.1
Blue37
369113.8
25009.4
463210.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583102040801005037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3277
#13
20.50.1
21.821.7
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End4.5
red by 6.7
3691
#41
13.80.4
14.614.2
Auto5.8
Teleop3.9
End4.0
Second
3082
#30
18.10.1
13.913.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.1
End5.5
red by 7.8
4632
#40
10.20.4
10.410.1
Auto6.5
Teleop0.7
End3.1
Third
2879
#21
13.30.1
15.615.5
Auto5.8
Teleop4.2
End3.4
red by 3.9
2500
#36
9.40.4
7.77.3
Auto1.8
Teleop5.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed20%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned17%Hangar oddsMissed