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Red80
52533.0
543429.5
218110.2
Blue52
301827.0
851618.2
345416.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68592040801001208052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#5
33.01.1
29.630.7
Auto9.0
Teleop15.6
End8.5
red by 6.0
3018
#11
27.00.5
23.222.7
Auto10.8
Teleop7.2
End9.0
Second
29.51.6
26.628.2
Auto9.4
Teleop10.3
End9.8
red by 11.3
8516
#37
18.20.5
15.414.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.6
End8.1
Third
2181
#39
10.21.6
6.88.4
Auto1.6
Teleop5.0
End3.6
blue by 6.5
3454
#29
16.70.4
18.017.6
Auto5.8
Teleop6.7
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
67%Cargo oddsEarned13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsEarned