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Red71
226425.4
302321.8
725716.7
Blue94
706820.8
216930.5
419828.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions608620401001201401607194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2264
#20
25.40.8
25.726.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.6
End9.8
blue by 5.1
30.50.8
29.129.9
Auto8.1
Teleop10.7
End11.8
Second
3023
#23
21.80.8
20.020.7
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End11.1
blue by 6.3
4198
#12
28.20.8
27.328.1
Auto8.2
Teleop11.9
End8.1
Third
7257
#45
16.71.1
14.115.2
Auto5.4
Teleop4.6
End6.8
blue by 4.1
7068
#14
20.80.8
21.021.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End8.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed33%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsEarned