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Red42
87877.3
250817.5
453923.8
Blue71
477815.9
301827.0
25009.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions604602040801004271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
#28
23.81.1
26.725.6
Auto5.8
Teleop12.5
End5.5
blue by 3.2
3018
#11
27.02.1
22.724.9
Auto10.8
Teleop7.2
End9.0
Second
2508
#24
17.51.1
19.218.1
Auto4.2
Teleop2.2
End11.0
red by 1.6
4778
#25
15.91.5
14.816.3
Auto5.1
Teleop5.5
End5.3
Third
8787
#42
7.31.6
8.46.8
Auto3.4
Teleop1.7
End2.2
blue by 2.2
2500
#36
9.42.1
7.39.4
Auto1.8
Teleop5.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsMissed18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
54%Hangar oddsEarned59%Hangar oddsEarned