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Red31
463210.2
703812.5
345416.7
Blue53
887811.5
226425.4
253019.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406502060801003153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3454
#29
16.70.9
17.616.7
Auto5.8
Teleop6.7
End4.2
blue by 8.7
2264
#20
25.40.3
26.426.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.6
End9.8
Second
7038
#27
12.50.6
13.112.5
Auto4.5
Teleop3.7
End4.4
blue by 7.1
2530
#19
19.60.4
20.119.6
Auto4.0
Teleop9.9
End5.7
Third
4632
#40
10.20.9
10.19.1
Auto6.5
Teleop0.7
End3.1
blue by 1.3
8878
#35
11.50.5
11.611.1
Auto4.3
Teleop3.3
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed32%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsMissed39%Hangar oddsMissed