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Red34
87877.3
422911.5
887811.5
Blue15
52998.0
55414.6
25134.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331701040506070803415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8878
#35
11.50.4
11.111.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.3
End3.9
red by 3.5
5299
#47
8.00.3
8.38.0
Auto4.1
Teleop1.5
End2.3
Second
4229
#43
11.50.4
11.111.5
Auto3.2
Teleop5.7
End2.6
red by 6.9
5541
#49
4.60.3
4.84.6
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End0.6
Third
8787
#42
7.30.4
6.87.3
Auto3.4
Teleop1.7
End2.2
red by 2.8
2513
#52
4.40.3
4.74.4
Auto3.6
Teleop1.5
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
16%Cargo oddsMissed6%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
8%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed