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Red33
217710.9
563816.5
453610.1
Blue32
392611.6
527511.3
250223.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38640501001503332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.50.7
16.615.9
Auto2.6
Teleop10.5
End3.4
blue by 7.2
2502
#10
23.81.7
27.826.1
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End7.1
Second
2177
#28
10.90.7
12.111.4
Auto5.2
Teleop4.2
End1.6
blue by 0.7
3926
#36
11.61.7
15.313.6
Auto2.5
Teleop7.3
End1.9
Third
4536
#26
10.10.7
10.69.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.8
End4.9
blue by 1.2
5275
#23
11.31.7
13.812.2
Auto5.2
Teleop0.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsMissed41%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed64%Hangar oddsEarned