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Red63
388329.1
247213.2
851620.1
Blue10
34075.0
420714.3
70386.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions692204060801001201406310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.10.3
27.627.9
Auto3.6
Teleop16.4
End9.2
red by 14.9
4207
#17
14.31.4
15.414.1
Auto3.5
Teleop4.3
End6.4
Second
8516
#15
20.10.3
18.919.3
Auto3.1
Teleop9.4
End7.7
red by 13.3
7038
#24
6.81.4
8.06.6
Auto1.5
Teleop2.6
End2.6
Third
13.20.3
11.812.1
Auto3.9
Teleop1.0
End8.4
red by 8.3
3407
#22
5.01.4
2.91.5
Auto0.3
Teleop2.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
22%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned46%Hangar oddsMissed