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Red94
301829.3
284722.9
216930.7
Blue83
222022.8
318436.8
181624.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85847080901001109483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2169
#16
30.71.0
31.032.0
Auto6.4
Teleop12.4
End11.9
blue by 6.1
36.80.3
32.833.1
Auto7.1
Teleop18.0
End11.7
Second
3018
#20
29.31.1
25.526.6
Auto9.4
Teleop11.0
End8.9
red by 4.7
1816
#29
24.60.3
26.426.6
Auto7.0
Teleop7.7
End9.9
Third
2847
#22
22.91.3
22.523.8
Auto6.3
Teleop10.0
End6.6
red by 0.1
22.80.3
20.020.2
Auto6.5
Teleop7.0
End9.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsEarned35%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned93%Hangar oddsEarned