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Red65
288333.6
569025.8
645317.6
Blue90
400925.9
517248.4
329324.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8210640601201401606590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#23
33.61.0
35.434.4
Auto9.1
Teleop17.0
End7.5
blue by 14.8
48.40.4
49.449.0
Auto12.3
Teleop29.8
End6.3
Second
5690
#28
25.81.0
27.526.5
Auto9.8
Teleop11.0
End5.1
Level
4009
#12
25.90.4
25.024.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End6.9
Third
6453
#27
17.61.0
17.316.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.4
End8.0
blue by 6.7
3293
#19
24.20.6
22.321.7
Auto6.9
Teleop10.2
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
67%Cargo oddsMissed84%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned78%Hangar oddsEarned