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Red114
320623.7
288333.6
318436.8
Blue108
223924.7
205244.5
702838.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9012320406080100140160180114108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.81.4
35.036.4
Auto7.1
Teleop18.0
End11.7
blue by 7.6
44.50.2
45.945.7
Auto10.2
Teleop23.6
End10.6
Second
2883
#23
33.61.4
33.835.2
Auto9.1
Teleop17.0
End7.5
blue by 5.1
7028
#11
38.70.2
40.039.8
Auto11.3
Teleop22.4
End5.0
Third
3206
#32
23.71.4
20.121.5
Auto7.5
Teleop11.3
End4.9
blue by 1.0
2239
#34
24.70.2
25.525.3
Auto6.5
Teleop9.1
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
89%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned93%Hangar oddsEarned